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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.35vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.07+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.43+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.42+3.58vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.27+0.50vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.20-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.22-1.79vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.50-2.08vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.59-1.19vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-3.09-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of South Florida1.510.4%1st Place
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2.35University of Wisconsin1.180.3%1st Place
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4.06Northwestern University0.070.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Michigan-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.5Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.15Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Notre Dame-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.92Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.81Miami University-2.590.0%1st Place
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9.54Ohio University-3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 41.3% | 31.5% | 18.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 31.6% | 29.4% | 20.8% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 8.8% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 4.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 22.7% | 21.3% |
| Emily Williams | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Dodge | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Jack O'Connor | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Jon Seaborg | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Back | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 25.6% | 24.2% |
| Mo Snyder | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 21.6% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.