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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.23+1.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+0.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.17-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.97+0.44vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.07-2.19vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-1.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.07-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Yale University3.230.4%1st Place
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3.68Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.58Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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3.81Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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3.61Salve Regina University2.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Struckett | 43.6% | 24.4% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 12.1% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Colin Patterson | 13.5% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Douglas Young | 2.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 28.0% | 33.4% |
| Emmett Weeks | 10.6% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 5.6% |
| James Fales | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 22.5% | 47.1% |
| Robert Keller | 14.2% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 11.1% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.