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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+6.95vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+6.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+7.13vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+4.58vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+3.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73+0.92vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+0.41vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.48vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45+0.30vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.53vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-0.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.61vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.20-2.87vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.49-4.36vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.79vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.04-5.02vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.78-6.35vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.03-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Dartmouth College2.907.9%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University2.757.5%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.5%1st Place
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8.58Brown University2.855.9%1st Place
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8.12Stanford University2.616.9%1st Place
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6.92Yale University2.739.4%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.057.8%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University2.456.3%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.8%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University2.123.9%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Naval Academy2.606.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston College2.204.0%1st Place
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9.64College of Charleston2.495.3%1st Place
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11.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.162.6%1st Place
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10.98Tulane University2.043.7%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island2.784.2%1st Place
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12.76Bowdoin College2.032.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Will Murray | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.1% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.