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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+7.44vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.62+7.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.91vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.46+6.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.98vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.11vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+2.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.44vs Predicted
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93.12-1.58vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38+0.85vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.22-3.80vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-2.15vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.84vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-7.90vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University2.01-2.93vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.44-5.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-6.09vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.25-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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5.89Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.78Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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7.423.120.1%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.2Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.07North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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10.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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14.61University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Trenton Shaw | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Jack Egan | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Will Murray | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% |
| Peter Busch | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.