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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+7.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+4.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.00vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+6.00vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03+6.68vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+2.03vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.23+3.68vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.93-0.08vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38+0.73vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-1.91vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.92vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.25-3.41vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.40-9.19vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-4.84vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-3.31vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.13-0.64vs Predicted
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19North Carolina State University1.17-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.28Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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11.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.0%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.68Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.92Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.73Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.59Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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5.81Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.16Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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17.36University of Wisconsin0.130.0%1st Place
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14.35North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Felix Cutler | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| William Michels | 8.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Scott Mais | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Maks Groom | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Ted McDonough | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 11.7% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 15.4% | 59.3% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.