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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+9.21vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+6.42vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+3.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+1.78vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+3.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.39vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+3.00vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.23+2.80vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-1.02vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+1.21vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.12vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.25-1.13vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.93-5.61vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.43-4.09vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-1.40vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-7.26vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03-5.60vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.17-3.34vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.13-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.33Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.78Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.8Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.21Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.87Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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7.39Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.0%1st Place
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14.66North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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17.07University of Wisconsin0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Scott Mais | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 11.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Felix Cutler | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Harrison Bailey | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 16.9% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 13.3% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.