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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.11+2.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.07+1.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.23-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.97+0.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.17-2.36vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-1.22vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.07-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.75Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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2.1Yale University3.230.4%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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3.62Salve Regina University2.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hollerbach | 13.7% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Emmett Weeks | 11.2% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 21.0% | 17.7% | 11.8% | 5.3% |
| Rob Struckett | 41.3% | 27.4% | 18.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Douglas Young | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 28.3% | 33.1% |
| Colin Patterson | 11.7% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 4.6% |
| James Fales | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 22.5% | 47.4% |
| Robert Keller | 15.8% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 12.3% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.