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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+6.44vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+6.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+5.35vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+4.73vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40+4.21vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61+0.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.65vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.34vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.75-2.66vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.45vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.28-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-3.57vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.49-5.44vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.45-6.80vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-4.21vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.85-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Harvard University3.058.7%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College2.907.4%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy2.605.5%1st Place
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6.78Yale University2.738.9%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
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11.21Boston College2.403.3%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University2.616.9%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.1%1st Place
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11.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.6%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University2.757.5%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.0%1st Place
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9.88Tulane University2.284.2%1st Place
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10.43University of Rhode Island2.784.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston2.494.8%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University2.455.9%1st Place
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12.79Bowdoin College2.032.5%1st Place
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8.66Brown University2.856.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Jack Egan | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Will Murray | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 22.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.