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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+6.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+3.89vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+6.98vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.93+3.62vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+5.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+0.24vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.39vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82+0.33vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.21vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.82-2.98vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-1.90vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.23-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-0.10vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.25-4.63vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.03-4.68vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.07-5.75vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.13-0.63vs Predicted
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19North Carolina State University1.17-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.19Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.24Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.41Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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10.37Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.030.0%1st Place
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11.25Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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17.37University of Wisconsin0.130.0%1st Place
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14.41North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Scott Mais | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| William Michels | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Ted McDonough | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 9.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Felix Cutler | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Micky Munns | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 60.4% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 22.0% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.