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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+6.90vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+6.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+4.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+1.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+4.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.96vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.93+0.55vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29-1.66vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-1.22vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25+0.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.27vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.34vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.23-3.48vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.46vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-5.01vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.17-2.59vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.13-0.79vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.38-9.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.68Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.78Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.2Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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10.52Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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14.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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10.99Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.41North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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17.21University of Wisconsin0.130.0%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Scott Mais | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ted McDonough | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 6.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Max Kleha | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 14.8% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 53.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.