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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.23+1.11vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.11+1.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.97+1.45vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.07-1.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.17-3.39vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.66-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Yale University3.230.4%1st Place
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3.63Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.75Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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3.81Salve Regina University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.61Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Struckett | 44.4% | 24.3% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 13.0% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Emmett Weeks | 11.3% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 5.7% |
| Douglas Young | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 27.1% | 34.2% |
| Robert Keller | 10.8% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 6.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 14.0% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 11.6% | 4.0% |
| James Fales | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 22.1% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.