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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+8.85vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+5.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60+6.49vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+7.35vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+2.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+2.19vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78+2.72vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.43vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-2.08vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.45vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.61-3.85vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-0.22vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.49-4.44vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.28-5.29vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.12-5.27vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.31vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.75-9.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.5%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.057.7%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy2.605.5%1st Place
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11.35Boston College2.403.8%1st Place
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6.79Yale University2.739.3%1st Place
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8.37Brown University2.856.2%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.455.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island2.784.1%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.5%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College2.907.8%1st Place
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.162.6%1st Place
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8.15Stanford University2.617.3%1st Place
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12.78Bowdoin College2.032.1%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston2.495.1%1st Place
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9.71Tulane University2.285.5%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University2.123.8%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.6%1st Place
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8.4Georgetown University2.757.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% |
| Jack Egan | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Will Murray | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 21.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.