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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+5.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.63+7.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.31+3.75vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.08vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.00+2.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+3.72vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.55+3.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.66+1.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51+0.92vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-0.91vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.79+2.25vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University1.06+0.32vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-1.71vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.13-6.69vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.11-3.21vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.64-6.56vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.36-6.44vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-2.45vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire1.02-6.85vs Predicted
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20University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.49Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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7.87Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.09Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.25Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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12.32Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.29Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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10.56Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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15.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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12.15University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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18.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wallace | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 3.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Graham Ness | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 26.7% | 13.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 10.9% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.