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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University1.06+10.34vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+3.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.66+5.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.63+5.00vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.75vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.64+2.84vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.74+1.50vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.36+2.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.31-2.93vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-1.08vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-1.64vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.00-4.33vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-2.92vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.55-4.59vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.74vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.38vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.02-5.48vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.07vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont1.11-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.34Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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5.74Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.5Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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10.33Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.07Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.08Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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12.26Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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14.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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11.52University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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17.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 3.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 27.1% | 13.4% |
| Grace Cannon | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 1.9% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 71.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.