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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+7.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+7.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.55+6.40vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+5.03vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.63+4.16vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.31+0.15vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.36+3.16vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45-2.15vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.00-1.76vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+0.20vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.64-2.13vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.74-3.25vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.79-0.67vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.85vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.02-3.56vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.66-7.36vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-5.88vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University1.06-6.70vs Predicted
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19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.24Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.2Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.75Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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12.33Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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14.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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11.44University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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11.3Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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17.47University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Styron | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 12.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 25.3% | 15.7% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Wallace | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Cole Perra | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 12.1% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.