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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+7.50vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.74+6.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02+7.60vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+5.61vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.79+6.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.63+2.04vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51+1.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-0.17vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.11+1.12vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University1.06+0.39vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.36-1.44vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.31-7.02vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.00-6.54vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.55-5.80vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.66-7.29vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.59vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-3.35vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College1.64-10.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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8.5Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.6University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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10.61Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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12.27Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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11.39Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.56Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.98Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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17.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 6.0% |
| William Bailey | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wallace | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Cole Perra | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 68.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 24.7% | 12.8% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.