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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+7.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+7.49vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.79+9.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.31+2.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+4.27vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45-0.33vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.36+3.16vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+2.57vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University1.06+2.15vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.63-1.15vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.64-2.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+3.02vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.02-1.64vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.66-5.05vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.55-5.80vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.74-7.66vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.00-9.64vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.11-6.92vs Predicted
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19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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12.53Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.57Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.15Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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15.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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11.36University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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8.34Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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17.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Thomas Styron | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| William Bailey | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 28.3% | 14.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Wallace | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Chance | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Cole Perra | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.