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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+4.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+7.47vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.55+6.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.36+5.37vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.31+0.18vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.74+1.51vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+2.48vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University1.06+2.18vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.64-1.21vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+3.72vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11-0.49vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-4.28vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.00-6.58vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.66-6.29vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.63-7.27vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.02-5.52vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.79-5.54vs Predicted
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19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.38Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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10.37Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.18Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.51Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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10.48Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.18Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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14.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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7.42Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.48University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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12.46Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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17.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 13.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 25.8% | 13.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wallace | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 11.1% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.