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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.55+8.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+3.76vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74+5.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.31+2.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66+4.07vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.41vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University1.06+4.39vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.11+3.38vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.64-0.27vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.63-1.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.36-0.91vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.79+0.88vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-2.95vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.82vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.02-3.59vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.00-8.72vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-8.06vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.51-8.69vs Predicted
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19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.57Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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11.39Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.09Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.88Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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10.05Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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14.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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11.41University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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7.28Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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17.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Chance | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 14.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 25.3% | 14.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 3.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 11.2% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.