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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+4.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+8.53vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+9.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.54+0.86vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+1.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.96vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69+4.81vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.29+1.56vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.53+3.12vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.15-4.02vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+0.71vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-4.21vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.68-5.35vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+1.14vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.62-3.09vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.65-8.08vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-7.74vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.39-5.10vs Predicted
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20University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.85-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.86Boston College2.540.1%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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11.81Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College1.290.1%1st Place
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12.12Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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5.98Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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11.71Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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15.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.91Maine Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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12.9University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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18.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 1.3% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Abate | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morley | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 33.8% | 5.9% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 1.3% |
| Ilya McCune-Pedit | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 88.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.