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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.59+1.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.53+0.69vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70-0.53vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.97+0.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62-0.55vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.19-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.76-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of Rhode Island2.590.3%1st Place
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2.69Brown University2.530.2%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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5.01Roger Williams University0.970.0%1st Place
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5.45Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.62Yale University1.190.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moakes | 27.4% | 25.7% | 21.3% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 24.3% | 24.6% | 24.4% | 15.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Charles Proctor | 30.0% | 25.9% | 23.3% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Richard Jordan | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 21.0% | 24.2% | 21.5% |
| Tom McKenzie | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 19.7% | 21.7% | 35.4% |
| William Feldman | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 21.7% | 20.7% | 19.4% | 15.2% |
| William Kresic | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 26.0% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.