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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.15+4.72vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+9.15vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.72+7.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+5.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+0.66vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29-0.92vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.68+0.16vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62+3.08vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.32-0.58vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.62+1.36vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.65-3.60vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.29-3.09vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-5.85vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.53-2.81vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.39-3.06vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-9.14vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-2.76vs Predicted
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19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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11.15Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.97Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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5.08Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.16Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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11.08Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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11.36Maine Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College1.290.0%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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11.19Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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11.94University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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14.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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17.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Elliott | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Alex Abate | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| James Sullivan | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 2.4% |
| Jack Flores | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morley | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 32.0% | 10.0% |
| Maisey Jobson | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.