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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+6.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+4.95vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+8.14vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.29+4.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+0.68vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62+5.23vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.28vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+6.07vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.65-1.83vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.02-0.12vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-5.81vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.39-1.18vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.62-3.14vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.53-3.54vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.15-10.41vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-8.39vs Predicted
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19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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11.14Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College1.290.1%1st Place
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5.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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11.23Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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14.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.17Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.19Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.11Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.82University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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10.86Maine Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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11.46Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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5.59Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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17.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Elliott | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 1.9% |
| Alex Abate | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Morley | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 31.6% | 9.9% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| James Sullivan | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 1.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Maisey Jobson | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.