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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+6.45vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.15+3.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+2.22vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+1.66vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.68+2.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+0.82vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69+3.92vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62+3.05vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+1.80vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.53+1.69vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.29-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.39+0.30vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08+4.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.02-4.60vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.62-3.88vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-8.63vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.32-9.43vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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5.63Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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5.22Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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7.09Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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10.92Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.05Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.8Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.69Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College1.290.1%1st Place
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12.3University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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17.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.12Maine Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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14.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| William Wiegand | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 2.0% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 3.3% |
| Maisey Jobson | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 7.8% | 79.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Alex Abate | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morley | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 29.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.