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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+5.73vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+9.59vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+5.16vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+5.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+5.89vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73+1.01vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+4.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78+2.67vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.49+0.52vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-1.24vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.04+0.22vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-4.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.60-3.41vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.75-5.52vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.06-4.32vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-6.44vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Stanford University3.159.4%1st Place
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11.59Boston College2.402.9%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College2.907.1%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University2.455.7%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University2.124.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University2.738.9%1st Place
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11.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.162.5%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island2.784.3%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston2.495.3%1st Place
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8.76Brown University2.856.0%1st Place
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11.22Tulane University2.043.5%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University3.058.6%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy2.605.3%1st Place
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8.48Georgetown University2.756.6%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College2.064.0%1st Place
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9.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.1%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.1%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% |
| Jack Egan | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Will Murray | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.