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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.53+1.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+0.49vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.59-1.32vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.19-1.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.97-2.07vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.76-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Brown University2.530.3%1st Place
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2.49Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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5.41Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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2.68University of Rhode Island2.590.3%1st Place
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4.66Yale University1.190.1%1st Place
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4.93Roger Williams University0.970.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Harvey | 26.0% | 25.5% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Charles Proctor | 29.6% | 26.3% | 22.6% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Tom McKenzie | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 24.7% | 34.3% |
| Andrew Moakes | 25.7% | 23.7% | 22.8% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| William Feldman | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 15.6% |
| Richard Jordan | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 23.2% | 20.7% |
| William Kresic | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.