Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Mueller 17.4% 16.1% 15.3% 14.6% 12.4% 10.8% 5.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Adam Larzelere 13.4% 16.4% 10.3% 15.4% 12.8% 11.2% 9.2% 5.5% 4.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Luke Hosek 12.4% 10.1% 12.8% 10.9% 12.3% 12.6% 11.9% 8.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Iain Jaeger 5.6% 6.5% 7.6% 10.9% 11.8% 10.0% 12.8% 13.6% 9.4% 7.6% 3.6% 0.6%
Haley Andreasen 10.0% 10.1% 13.3% 12.0% 11.6% 12.0% 11.1% 9.2% 6.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Katherine McNamara 21.9% 19.7% 16.6% 12.1% 11.1% 7.7% 6.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Liam Lawless 10.6% 9.3% 12.0% 11.0% 10.9% 11.7% 12.9% 9.3% 6.7% 3.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Alexander Lee 3.0% 4.4% 4.1% 3.9% 5.7% 7.2% 8.2% 12.6% 14.5% 15.1% 14.2% 7.1%
Felix Nusbaum 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 4.3% 6.8% 8.8% 13.6% 16.6% 20.1% 21.0%
Anna LaDue 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 8.0% 10.8% 14.7% 21.3% 28.8%
Jake Lacoche 1.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 3.2% 4.1% 4.8% 6.5% 10.3% 16.9% 20.0% 28.4%
Andrew White 1.7% 3.0% 3.1% 2.4% 3.1% 5.6% 7.3% 10.9% 15.4% 17.5% 17.0% 13.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.