Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Mueller 18.7% 14.8% 16.5% 13.3% 12.2% 10.9% 5.7% 4.8% 1.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Iain Jaeger 5.3% 7.6% 8.2% 9.5% 9.5% 11.4% 14.5% 12.8% 10.8% 6.5% 3.4% 0.5%
Katherine McNamara 21.4% 18.4% 16.7% 13.9% 12.2% 7.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Andreasen 9.2% 11.7% 11.0% 12.6% 12.2% 12.1% 11.1% 10.3% 5.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Liam Lawless 9.6% 10.1% 11.3% 10.7% 11.0% 11.6% 12.0% 9.6% 6.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Luke Hosek 12.3% 9.8% 11.9% 12.0% 14.0% 11.7% 11.9% 8.4% 4.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Adam Larzelere 15.5% 16.4% 13.2% 12.9% 9.8% 11.9% 8.4% 7.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3%
Felix Nusbaum 1.3% 1.6% 2.6% 2.6% 3.3% 4.6% 5.3% 7.8% 12.7% 14.2% 21.8% 22.2%
Alexander Lee 2.6% 3.1% 2.5% 4.7% 5.4% 8.6% 10.5% 10.9% 18.4% 14.5% 12.4% 6.4%
Jake Lacoche 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 2.6% 4.3% 9.5% 9.8% 16.8% 20.5% 25.1%
Andrew White 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 3.0% 5.5% 4.4% 7.2% 9.5% 15.0% 17.6% 17.7% 14.0%
Anna LaDue 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 6.2% 11.9% 15.3% 20.5% 30.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.