Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Haley Andreasen 9.7% 11.1% 10.7% 9.9% 13.1% 14.9% 11.3% 8.6% 6.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Felix Nusbaum 1.5% 1.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 4.2% 6.2% 9.3% 11.1% 16.4% 21.4% 21.8%
Emily Mueller 18.2% 15.8% 13.8% 15.7% 11.4% 11.0% 7.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine McNamara 20.2% 22.6% 13.0% 15.4% 10.8% 7.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Iain Jaeger 5.8% 8.1% 7.9% 9.1% 9.8% 11.4% 12.3% 14.8% 9.3% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1%
Adam Larzelere 16.0% 11.7% 14.6% 12.7% 12.7% 10.7% 8.9% 7.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Liam Lawless 10.1% 9.4% 11.6% 10.8% 11.4% 11.6% 12.0% 9.6% 7.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Jake Lacoche 1.1% 1.3% 2.9% 2.2% 4.1% 3.3% 5.5% 7.0% 11.1% 15.1% 19.1% 27.3%
Luke Hosek 10.5% 11.8% 14.8% 13.1% 12.6% 10.8% 11.7% 7.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Alexander Lee 3.7% 3.6% 3.9% 3.6% 5.0% 6.6% 8.8% 14.1% 16.7% 15.0% 11.7% 7.3%
Andrew White 2.2% 1.9% 2.2% 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 6.2% 10.1% 15.1% 17.4% 19.1% 13.0%
Anna LaDue 1.0% 1.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 3.7% 5.6% 11.3% 17.0% 21.8% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.