Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Mueller 17.4% 14.2% 16.9% 14.5% 12.3% 9.3% 8.7% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Lawless 7.9% 11.2% 9.6% 10.2% 13.2% 13.1% 12.2% 10.8% 6.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Luke Hosek 12.6% 10.4% 11.3% 12.8% 12.5% 11.9% 12.4% 8.5% 4.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Katherine McNamara 20.0% 21.4% 16.9% 12.8% 11.5% 7.4% 4.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.8% 4.6% 9.1% 11.8% 15.1% 19.7% 24.1%
Adam Larzelere 14.8% 14.5% 13.7% 13.8% 11.8% 11.2% 8.2% 6.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Iain Jaeger 7.1% 7.7% 8.2% 9.2% 10.2% 11.6% 12.5% 11.3% 10.3% 7.3% 3.8% 0.8%
Haley Andreasen 12.4% 10.8% 11.9% 11.0% 11.7% 12.2% 10.6% 8.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5%
Andrew White 1.6% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 3.7% 6.9% 7.9% 10.7% 16.9% 17.2% 16.9% 10.8%
Anna LaDue 1.0% 2.1% 1.8% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 4.4% 6.3% 11.2% 15.6% 21.5% 27.9%
Alexander Lee 3.1% 2.2% 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 5.6% 8.9% 13.0% 15.1% 16.2% 13.2% 9.3%
Jake Lacoche 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 4.8% 7.2% 10.5% 18.0% 21.0% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.