Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Larzelere 14.2% 12.2% 13.4% 15.4% 12.9% 11.9% 8.5% 6.1% 3.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.1% 3.4% 3.0% 7.2% 8.1% 11.9% 14.9% 21.3% 23.1%
Luke Hosek 11.4% 11.2% 12.4% 10.8% 13.4% 13.1% 11.3% 8.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Haley Andreasen 8.9% 11.3% 12.5% 13.8% 12.5% 12.0% 9.6% 7.9% 7.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Katherine McNamara 22.0% 20.0% 15.7% 12.8% 10.5% 7.7% 5.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Liam Lawless 9.6% 9.3% 9.7% 10.9% 13.2% 12.6% 11.6% 10.5% 6.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Emily Mueller 17.5% 18.4% 16.2% 13.7% 9.9% 9.9% 7.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Iain Jaeger 7.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.9% 9.7% 9.7% 13.3% 13.9% 10.1% 6.1% 3.5% 1.2%
Alexander Lee 2.4% 2.6% 3.8% 4.4% 6.1% 8.1% 10.8% 13.2% 14.3% 15.3% 12.7% 6.3%
Andrew White 2.3% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5% 4.0% 4.7% 8.3% 9.6% 15.1% 18.1% 16.5% 12.9%
Jake Lacoche 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 4.3% 3.7% 7.4% 11.9% 16.8% 21.4% 25.8%
Anna LaDue 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 6.5% 11.0% 16.2% 20.7% 30.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.