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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Luke Hosek 10.7% 9.8% 13.2% 11.6% 12.4% 14.2% 10.4% 9.1% 5.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Haley Andreasen 9.6% 11.4% 11.7% 11.3% 13.9% 11.3% 12.4% 8.9% 5.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Emily Mueller 17.3% 16.2% 16.8% 13.5% 10.8% 11.0% 7.1% 4.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Katherine McNamara 20.7% 20.6% 16.6% 13.6% 10.5% 8.9% 4.7% 2.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Liam Lawless 10.2% 8.4% 10.3% 11.0% 12.2% 12.1% 11.5% 9.9% 7.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Felix Nusbaum 1.8% 1.1% 1.8% 3.4% 3.1% 3.9% 5.2% 7.2% 11.4% 15.2% 22.9% 23.0%
Adam Larzelere 14.7% 15.6% 13.5% 13.0% 13.1% 10.0% 9.1% 6.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Iain Jaeger 8.4% 7.8% 6.7% 9.5% 9.5% 11.7% 11.5% 13.5% 10.2% 6.8% 2.9% 1.5%
Alexander Lee 2.0% 2.9% 2.8% 5.0% 7.1% 5.8% 11.4% 12.4% 17.3% 15.8% 11.3% 6.2%
Jake Lacoche 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 4.1% 2.3% 2.3% 4.5% 7.8% 12.0% 17.7% 18.7% 25.5%
Anna LaDue 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% 3.6% 3.9% 6.1% 10.9% 15.2% 21.2% 30.9%
Andrew White 2.1% 3.1% 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 5.2% 8.3% 12.2% 13.3% 17.7% 18.0% 12.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.