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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.38+3.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+2.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+0.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01-0.57vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+0.34vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.60+3.38vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.61-2.76vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.85-2.02vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.03-1.02vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.68-0.57vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-1.22vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.26-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.85Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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3.43Brown University2.010.2%1st Place
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5.34Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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9.38Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.24Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island0.850.1%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University0.030.0%1st Place
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9.43University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.78Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.67Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hosek | 10.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 17.3% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 20.7% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 22.9% | 23.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Iain Jaeger | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Lee | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 25.5% |
| Anna LaDue | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 30.9% |
| Andrew White | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.