Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sam Ingalls 11.7% 13.7% 14.9% 13.8% 12.4% 12.1% 9.3% 6.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 7.2% 10.0% 11.7% 11.3% 12.5% 13.6% 10.8% 11.0% 5.8% 3.5% 1.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 10.1% 12.9% 12.3% 15.9% 12.5% 12.6% 10.6% 5.6% 4.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Macken 17.0% 16.9% 17.1% 15.2% 13.2% 8.8% 5.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Drew Mastovsky 36.0% 23.7% 17.0% 9.9% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Cunniff 1.6% 1.7% 3.4% 3.0% 3.7% 3.7% 7.7% 8.5% 11.6% 13.1% 16.3% 15.1% 10.6%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 4.5% 3.4% 5.8% 7.9% 6.5% 7.9% 11.2% 11.6% 11.9% 11.7% 10.2% 5.3% 2.1%
Sylvia Burns 3.1% 5.6% 4.0% 6.0% 7.9% 8.8% 11.1% 12.1% 12.9% 12.3% 9.3% 5.0% 1.9%
Griffin Stolp 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 5.0% 5.2% 7.4% 8.7% 11.5% 14.8% 14.4% 13.1% 8.0%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 4.8% 5.8% 4.2% 6.3% 9.7% 11.9% 10.8% 12.2% 11.6% 9.0% 7.9% 4.0% 1.8%
Caleb Burt 1.4% 1.5% 3.7% 4.0% 5.2% 7.4% 7.3% 10.2% 10.4% 15.4% 13.7% 13.2% 6.6%
Kathleen Hanson 0.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.3% 3.4% 4.8% 7.7% 6.0% 11.7% 20.1% 38.7%
Rem Johannknecht 0.8% 0.6% 2.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.3% 3.7% 5.3% 6.9% 9.7% 13.4% 22.4% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.