Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marina Garrido 10.4% 13.1% 14.0% 13.7% 12.6% 13.3% 9.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Ingalls 12.5% 12.5% 14.7% 16.1% 13.2% 11.0% 8.1% 6.7% 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 6.6% 10.5% 11.5% 11.8% 13.4% 13.3% 11.7% 8.8% 6.1% 4.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 3.8% 4.5% 5.3% 7.5% 9.6% 10.6% 12.0% 11.6% 11.2% 11.0% 7.7% 3.9% 1.3%
Connor Macken 17.4% 18.3% 15.2% 14.5% 13.2% 9.4% 5.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Drew Mastovsky 34.6% 25.1% 16.5% 11.7% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sylvia Burns 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 5.9% 8.5% 8.1% 10.0% 12.9% 13.8% 9.3% 10.3% 5.4% 1.9%
Michael Cunniff 1.4% 2.3% 3.3% 2.9% 4.1% 4.4% 6.3% 8.3% 11.6% 11.5% 16.9% 17.0% 10.0%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 4.0% 3.7% 5.2% 5.5% 6.4% 9.6% 11.9% 11.7% 11.7% 13.1% 9.4% 5.6% 2.2%
Griffin Stolp 1.7% 3.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.3% 6.1% 7.6% 10.6% 12.0% 13.4% 13.6% 12.0% 8.1%
Rem Johannknecht 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 2.9% 3.7% 4.2% 5.4% 7.8% 10.3% 14.1% 20.0% 27.9%
Caleb Burt 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 5.3% 7.8% 9.0% 10.8% 13.8% 13.8% 15.0% 10.0%
Kathleen Hanson 0.9% 0.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 3.2% 5.6% 5.7% 9.2% 10.9% 20.4% 38.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.