Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Meredith Broadus 8.2% 8.8% 11.6% 13.0% 11.7% 12.6% 11.3% 9.5% 6.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Sam Ingalls 11.0% 13.7% 15.3% 14.9% 14.1% 11.2% 8.2% 5.8% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Connor Macken 16.7% 18.0% 16.2% 15.1% 12.2% 10.2% 5.8% 3.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 10.6% 12.2% 13.0% 14.8% 13.8% 10.4% 10.1% 7.9% 4.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 4.1% 3.7% 5.3% 6.2% 8.9% 8.0% 10.8% 12.1% 11.6% 11.9% 10.1% 5.0% 2.3%
Sylvia Burns 3.4% 4.0% 5.8% 5.9% 6.8% 11.5% 10.4% 12.2% 13.0% 10.8% 8.2% 6.2% 1.8%
Griffin Stolp 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 5.3% 6.7% 6.9% 10.1% 12.1% 13.7% 14.5% 11.3% 7.4%
Drew Mastovsky 34.9% 25.3% 18.0% 10.5% 6.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caleb Burt 1.8% 3.0% 1.9% 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 7.9% 8.7% 11.6% 14.9% 14.0% 13.5% 9.5%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 6.7% 8.9% 11.5% 11.4% 12.8% 11.1% 9.6% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0%
Rem Johannknecht 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 3.3% 2.8% 5.2% 5.1% 8.5% 9.4% 13.7% 21.3% 26.8%
Michael Cunniff 0.9% 1.8% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 5.0% 7.1% 7.8% 10.6% 12.9% 15.9% 16.7% 12.6%
Kathleen Hanson 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 2.4% 3.6% 4.4% 6.3% 7.5% 13.6% 20.3% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.