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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+7.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.15+4.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.97vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+5.57vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+2.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.58vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.04+4.26vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78+2.77vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45+0.26vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12+0.72vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-3.87vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.40-0.72vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.61vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.42-4.72vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.06-4.46vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.85-7.24vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-5.48vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.60-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Dartmouth College2.906.7%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University3.159.6%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.3%1st Place
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9.57College of Charleston2.495.4%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University3.058.1%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
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11.26Tulane University2.043.9%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island2.783.9%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University2.455.3%1st Place
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10.72Tufts University2.123.8%1st Place
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7.13Yale University2.739.6%1st Place
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11.28Boston College2.403.6%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.8%1st Place
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9.28Georgetown University2.425.2%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College2.064.5%1st Place
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8.76Brown University2.855.9%1st Place
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11.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.162.8%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Naval Academy2.605.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% |
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Will Murray | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.