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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.59+1.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+0.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.66+0.76vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+1.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.97-1.19vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.19-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.76-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Rhode Island2.590.3%1st Place
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2.26Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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3.76Brown University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.36Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.81Roger Williams University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.41Yale University1.190.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Connecticut0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moakes | 32.9% | 25.9% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Charles Proctor | 35.0% | 30.6% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Tower | 11.0% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Tom McKenzie | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 22.5% | 33.9% |
| Richard Jordan | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| William Feldman | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 13.5% |
| William Kresic | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 24.1% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.