Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Drew Mastovsky 34.5% 23.8% 19.0% 10.0% 6.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 10.8% 11.0% 15.1% 13.2% 16.2% 11.6% 6.9% 7.9% 4.0% 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Connor Macken 16.2% 19.4% 16.0% 13.6% 12.4% 10.1% 6.8% 2.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 8.5% 9.0% 10.4% 15.0% 11.6% 12.5% 10.9% 8.4% 7.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3%
Sam Ingalls 13.0% 14.2% 13.3% 14.3% 12.7% 11.0% 9.0% 6.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Sylvia Burns 3.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.2% 8.3% 10.1% 10.0% 14.8% 11.5% 10.9% 8.7% 6.0% 1.7%
Griffin Stolp 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 4.0% 4.8% 6.8% 7.8% 7.9% 12.6% 13.2% 14.4% 13.4% 6.5%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 3.2% 4.6% 4.8% 5.6% 7.9% 8.0% 11.6% 13.4% 12.8% 11.4% 9.1% 5.7% 1.9%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 3.6% 5.7% 4.4% 8.7% 7.9% 9.4% 12.9% 11.5% 11.7% 10.6% 7.7% 4.3% 1.6%
Rem Johannknecht 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 4.1% 4.4% 7.0% 10.6% 12.5% 21.7% 28.9%
Caleb Burt 1.2% 2.2% 3.3% 4.3% 4.9% 6.0% 8.7% 9.4% 12.2% 13.9% 14.8% 11.1% 8.0%
Michael Cunniff 1.1% 1.2% 3.7% 2.2% 3.0% 6.3% 6.1% 7.8% 10.3% 12.4% 15.6% 17.1% 13.2%
Kathleen Hanson 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 2.2% 3.5% 4.7% 5.2% 8.8% 13.4% 19.5% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.