Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marina Garrido 10.9% 11.4% 13.9% 13.7% 13.5% 12.5% 9.2% 7.8% 3.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Drew Mastovsky 36.1% 23.5% 16.0% 11.5% 6.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 6.9% 9.4% 11.9% 12.0% 13.3% 13.5% 10.7% 9.1% 6.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Connor Macken 15.6% 19.1% 15.2% 15.0% 13.5% 9.1% 6.3% 3.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Michael Cunniff 1.4% 3.1% 2.2% 3.3% 4.4% 4.9% 7.4% 7.3% 10.8% 13.4% 15.7% 16.8% 9.3%
Sam Ingalls 12.6% 14.1% 15.0% 13.4% 12.7% 12.2% 8.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Sylvia Burns 4.2% 3.7% 6.6% 7.3% 6.3% 7.9% 10.9% 12.4% 11.2% 12.6% 9.1% 5.8% 2.0%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 4.5% 5.0% 5.2% 6.9% 8.4% 9.9% 12.2% 13.3% 12.7% 9.8% 7.0% 3.9% 1.2%
Caleb Burt 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 3.0% 5.6% 4.5% 6.8% 9.3% 10.2% 14.4% 16.1% 13.8% 8.6%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 3.4% 4.6% 5.0% 5.6% 6.5% 10.0% 12.6% 11.3% 13.0% 10.5% 8.9% 5.2% 3.4%
Griffin Stolp 1.4% 1.9% 3.6% 4.9% 5.7% 6.9% 7.7% 10.1% 13.2% 13.6% 13.2% 11.2% 6.6%
Rem Johannknecht 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 3.2% 4.0% 5.0% 6.8% 8.2% 13.3% 21.6% 31.7%
Kathleen Hanson 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 2.0% 2.9% 3.8% 6.6% 8.1% 13.7% 20.8% 36.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.