Race 6B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marina Garrido 10.7% 12.0% 13.1% 15.1% 13.4% 11.0% 10.6% 6.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Connor Macken 15.3% 18.2% 16.9% 16.3% 12.4% 8.8% 6.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 6.6% 10.2% 11.3% 12.3% 12.0% 13.8% 12.8% 8.0% 7.1% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Drew Mastovsky 35.7% 22.8% 17.8% 12.3% 5.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sam Ingalls 13.8% 13.0% 14.7% 12.9% 13.8% 11.3% 9.1% 5.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 4.0% 5.4% 5.2% 7.7% 8.9% 10.4% 11.4% 13.2% 11.5% 9.4% 7.4% 4.2% 1.3%
Griffin Stolp 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 3.9% 5.4% 7.1% 5.7% 9.6% 12.8% 13.6% 13.6% 13.3% 6.6%
Sylvia Burns 3.8% 4.7% 5.2% 5.2% 8.5% 8.3% 12.2% 10.9% 13.3% 12.1% 8.8% 5.3% 1.7%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 3.3% 4.7% 4.3% 5.8% 7.4% 9.7% 10.1% 11.9% 13.2% 12.6% 9.2% 5.7% 2.1%
Caleb Burt 1.7% 2.6% 3.8% 2.8% 4.8% 4.8% 7.2% 10.5% 10.8% 13.5% 15.2% 12.7% 9.6%
Rem Johannknecht 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 2.7% 3.3% 4.8% 5.8% 6.9% 9.9% 13.4% 21.8% 27.4%
Michael Cunniff 1.0% 1.8% 3.2% 2.4% 3.9% 5.7% 6.2% 7.9% 10.8% 11.5% 15.9% 16.8% 12.9%
Kathleen Hanson 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 5.5% 4.8% 9.6% 12.9% 19.3% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.