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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.06+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.65+0.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.19+0.35vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend0.24-2.44vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-2.44-1.33vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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2.68University of Virginia0.060.2%1st Place
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3.66University of Delaware-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Military Academy-1.190.1%1st Place
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2.56Penn State Behrend0.240.3%1st Place
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5.67Princeton University-2.440.0%1st Place
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6.65American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 31.4% | 25.9% | 20.9% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 23.5% | 24.7% | 24.6% | 16.8% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| David Berson | 10.2% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 27.6% | 22.8% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Henry Jensen | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 38.0% | 18.1% | 2.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 27.1% | 26.0% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nikhil De | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 13.9% | 55.7% | 17.7% |
| Sophia Symonowicz | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 13.7% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.