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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.06+0.56vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.32-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.57-0.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.19-1.87vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-2.44-1.51vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Penn State Behrend0.240.3%1st Place
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2.56University of Virginia0.060.2%1st Place
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2.26Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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4.6University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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4.13U. S. Military Academy-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.49Princeton University-2.440.0%1st Place
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6.6American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 30.4% | 29.1% | 21.5% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 24.6% | 25.6% | 27.8% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Iain Shand | 32.7% | 28.5% | 23.1% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 20.6% | 33.5% | 23.4% | 3.8% |
| Henry Jensen | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 28.8% | 27.0% | 14.0% | 2.4% |
| Nikhil De | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 19.0% | 47.8% | 16.1% |
| Sophia Symonowicz | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.