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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.06+0.55vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.24-0.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.19+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.57-0.43vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-2.44-1.48vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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2.55University of Virginia0.060.2%1st Place
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2.35Penn State Behrend0.240.3%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Military Academy-1.190.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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5.52Princeton University-2.440.0%1st Place
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6.6American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 32.5% | 29.5% | 20.6% | 12.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 24.7% | 25.3% | 28.6% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 30.4% | 27.4% | 24.6% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Jensen | 5.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 28.5% | 28.8% | 13.6% | 1.5% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 21.9% | 33.3% | 22.0% | 4.3% |
| Nikhil De | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 17.9% | 48.8% | 16.6% |
| Sophia Symonowicz | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 13.1% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.