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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.91+1.89vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.17vs Predicted
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4American University-1.50-0.16vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-2.14-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-3.05+0.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.01-2.37vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.78-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Virginia-0.910.3%1st Place
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3.17Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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3.84American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.82Drexel University-2.140.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Delaware-3.050.0%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Military Academy-2.010.1%1st Place
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2.64Princeton University-0.780.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 26.1% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 17.5% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 11.9% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 5.9% |
| Ben Muchin | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 28.7% | 16.7% |
| Michael Pugh | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 19.7% | 56.4% |
| Gil Hankinson | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 21.6% | 16.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 29.4% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.