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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.59+1.45vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.66+1.72vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70-1.73vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.19-0.50vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.76-1.92vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.97-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Rhode Island2.590.3%1st Place
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3.72Brown University1.660.1%1st Place
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2.27Tufts University2.700.4%1st Place
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4.5Yale University1.190.1%1st Place
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5.33Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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4.64Roger Williams University0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moakes | 31.2% | 28.4% | 19.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Tower | 11.4% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 22.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 5.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 35.6% | 27.5% | 20.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| William Feldman | 6.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 14.6% |
| Tom McKenzie | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 34.7% |
| William Kresic | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 28.8% |
| Richard Jordan | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 25.1% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.