← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.05+6.36vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.40+9.54vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.45+6.28vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.85+4.89vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.82vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.90+2.05vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.49+2.57vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.78+2.78vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.57vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.19vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.43vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.12-1.37vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.06-2.52vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.73-6.84vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University3.15-8.49vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.42-6.66vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University2.04-5.94vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.36Harvard University3.059.2%1st Place
-
11.54Boston College2.402.6%1st Place
-
9.28Roger Williams University2.454.7%1st Place
-
8.89Brown University2.856.4%1st Place
-
9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.7%1st Place
-
8.05Dartmouth College2.907.2%1st Place
-
9.57College of Charleston2.495.0%1st Place
-
10.78University of Rhode Island2.783.2%1st Place
-
9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.0%1st Place
-
9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.1%1st Place
-
9.57U. S. Naval Academy2.605.0%1st Place
-
10.63Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
-
10.48Bowdoin College2.064.5%1st Place
-
7.16Yale University2.739.8%1st Place
-
6.51Stanford University3.1510.8%1st Place
-
9.34Georgetown University2.425.3%1st Place
-
11.06Tulane University2.043.5%1st Place
-
11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% |
| Will Murray | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.