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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.91+1.91vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-1.07+0.17vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-2.14+0.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.01-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-3.05+0.01vs Predicted
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7American University-1.50-3.16vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.78-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91University of Virginia-0.910.3%1st Place
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3.17Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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4.8Drexel University-2.140.1%1st Place
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4.64U. S. Military Academy-2.010.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Delaware-3.050.0%1st Place
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3.84American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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2.63Princeton University-0.780.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 25.5% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Bryce Nill | 17.7% | 20.8% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Ben Muchin | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 25.1% | 17.5% |
| Gil Hankinson | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 25.8% | 14.3% |
| Michael Pugh | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 56.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 12.4% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 6.4% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 29.2% | 24.3% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.