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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-1.07+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.91+1.10vs Predicted
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3American University-1.50+1.15vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.19-1.34vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.78-2.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.01-2.08vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.74-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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3.1University of Virginia-0.910.2%1st Place
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4.15American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.66Drexel University-1.190.2%1st Place
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3.04Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Military Academy-2.010.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 19.3% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 21.7% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Curtis | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 10.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 15.5% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 5.8% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 22.6% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Gil Hankinson | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 18.8% | 25.1% | 22.4% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.