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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.91+2.15vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.40vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.78-1.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.01-0.04vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.74-1.12vs Predicted
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8American University-1.50-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Virginia-0.910.2%1st Place
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3.4Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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2.97Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Military Academy-2.010.1%1st Place
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3.66Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
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3.98American University-1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 22.3% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Bryce Nill | 17.3% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 24.5% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Gil Hankinson | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 27.4% | 23.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 13.7% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 54.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.