← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia-0.91+2.13vs Predicted
-
2Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.38vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-1.19-0.38vs Predicted
-
5American University-1.50-0.87vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.78-2.97vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-2.01-2.09vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-2.74-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13University of Virginia-0.910.2%1st Place
-
3.38Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
-
3.62Drexel University-1.190.2%1st Place
-
4.13American University-1.500.1%1st Place
-
3.03Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
-
4.91U. S. Military Academy-2.010.1%1st Place
-
5.78University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 22.0% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 3.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 17.0% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 15.3% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 9.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 23.5% | 22.1% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Gil Hankinson | 7.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 25.6% | 22.4% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.