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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.91+0.31vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.78-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45-0.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.01-0.72vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-2.14-1.57vs Predicted
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8American University-1.50-3.62vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-3.05-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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3.31University of Virginia-0.910.2%1st Place
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3.06Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
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4.27University of Maryland-1.450.1%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Military Academy-2.010.1%1st Place
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5.43Drexel University-2.140.1%1st Place
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4.38American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Delaware-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 17.5% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 19.8% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 24.6% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Eric Garvey | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Gil Hankinson | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 13.7% |
| Ben Muchin | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 18.5% |
| Ryan Curtis | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 5.6% |
| Michael Pugh | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 20.3% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.