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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.84+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+1.08vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.82-1.15vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.68-0.38vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.09-1.98vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.61-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86McGill University-0.840.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.2%1st Place
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1.85McGill University0.820.5%1st Place
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3.62McGill University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.02Amherst College-0.090.2%1st Place
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5.57Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Bascio | 7.4% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 31.3% | 10.0% |
| Kate Myler | 15.4% | 22.4% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 15.2% | 2.6% |
| Jacob Webster | 49.1% | 26.6% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Liam Parnell | 10.4% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 24.0% | 27.4% | 5.7% |
| Nat Edmonds | 16.4% | 22.9% | 24.1% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 3.3% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.