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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College-0.09+1.68vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.84+1.59vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.20vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.31-1.10vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.68-1.49vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.61-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Amherst College-0.090.3%1st Place
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3.59McGill University-0.840.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.2%1st Place
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2.9McGill University-0.310.2%1st Place
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3.51McGill University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.53Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nat Edmonds | 25.5% | 26.0% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 2.0% |
| Finn Bascio | 12.8% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 27.4% | 8.7% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 23.9% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 1.8% |
| Tessa Hason | 22.9% | 18.3% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 2.1% |
| Liam Parnell | 13.4% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 23.6% | 8.4% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.