← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University-0.68+2.44vs Predicted
-
2Amherst College-0.09+0.62vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.23vs Predicted
-
4McGill University-0.31-1.09vs Predicted
-
5McGill University-0.84-1.28vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-2.61-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44McGill University-0.680.1%1st Place
-
2.62Amherst College-0.090.3%1st Place
-
2.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.2%1st Place
-
2.91McGill University-0.310.2%1st Place
-
3.72McGill University-0.840.1%1st Place
-
5.54Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Parnell | 13.4% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 24.7% | 6.3% |
| Nat Edmonds | 27.5% | 24.5% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 1.6% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 24.6% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 1.8% |
| Tessa Hason | 22.0% | 20.1% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 2.4% |
| Finn Bascio | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 27.1% | 11.0% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 11.5% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.