← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University-0.84+2.65vs Predicted
-
2McGill University-0.31+0.84vs Predicted
-
3Amherst College-0.09-0.43vs Predicted
-
4McGill University-0.68-0.61vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.98vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-2.61-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.65McGill University-0.840.1%1st Place
-
2.84McGill University-0.310.2%1st Place
-
2.57Amherst College-0.090.3%1st Place
-
3.39McGill University-0.680.2%1st Place
-
3.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.2%1st Place
-
5.52Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Bascio | 11.3% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 28.0% | 9.3% |
| Tessa Hason | 23.3% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 2.5% |
| Nat Edmonds | 28.7% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 1.3% |
| Liam Parnell | 15.2% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 24.4% | 5.2% |
| Kate Myler | 19.8% | 21.5% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 4.7% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.