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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.31+1.91vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.68+1.36vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.84+0.60vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-0.09-1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.01vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.61-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91McGill University-0.310.2%1st Place
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3.36McGill University-0.680.2%1st Place
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3.6McGill University-0.840.1%1st Place
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2.62Amherst College-0.090.3%1st Place
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2.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.2%1st Place
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5.52Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tessa Hason | 20.5% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 3.3% |
| Liam Parnell | 15.3% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 22.5% | 6.5% |
| Finn Bascio | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 22.8% | 26.5% | 8.2% |
| Nat Edmonds | 28.5% | 21.0% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 1.4% |
| Kate Myler | 20.8% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 4.1% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.4% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.